This week’s Brief is about who prices Africa and who pays the price. As aid shrinks and cheap money fades, ratings and debt are no longer technical side debates. They are shaping access to capital for governments, startups and energy projects alike. From the push to rethink how African risk is judged, to record venture debt, scaling angel capital, a solar surge and a global reckoning with Fela’s legacy, this edition tracks how capital, credibility and control are being renegotiated across the continent.
Did You Know?
African countries pay up to $74.5B a year in higher borrowing costs and lost financing due to how sovereign risk is priced. Source: United Nations Development Programme.
Graphic of the Week
Ratings are all the Rage

Source: Concerto
Africa’s long-running dispute with global credit rating agencies is entering a sharper phase. The African Union–backed African Credit Rating Agency (AfCRA) is planned, but not yet launched. Years of preparatory work may soon begin to reshape the debate over who defines African credit risk.
Why this is heating up now: As aid budgets shrink and cheap money disappears, African governments are increasingly reliant on market borrowing and therefore on the judgments of Fitch Ratings, Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s. Ratings now directly shape access to capital for health, education and infrastructure. Recently, Afreximbank severed ties with Fitch adding fuel to the fire.
The core complaint: African policymakers argue global agencies overweight hard-currency constraints and external shocks while underestimating domestic resilience, informal economies and reform momentum. The result, they say, is fast downgrades in crises and slow upgrades in recovery.
The cost claim: A widely cited United Nations Development Programme estimate puts the price of perceived over-risking at $74.5B a year in higher interest costs and lost financing. Supporters call this the “African risk premium.” Critics dispute the methodology.
Who pushed back: Ghana, Nigeria, Zambia, Namibia among others have all publicly rejected ratings over the past decade, citing weak consultation and flawed assumptions. There is no formal appeals authority.
What AfCRA aims to change: Better use of local data, stronger focus on local-currency creditworthiness, and more contextual analysis. Its mandate goes beyond ratings to include peer review and post-rating engagement, which supporters see as fixing information gaps and skeptics see as mission creep.
The counterview: Analysts warn AfCRA risks looking like Africa “grading its own homework.” Global capital is comparative, and investors still price Africa against Asia and Latin America, not against itself.
What really moves spreads: Research cited by the International Monetary Fund suggests higher African borrowing costs largely fade once governance, fiscal transparency and data quality are accounted for. Defaults broadly track similarly rated peers.
The pragmatic middle ground: As Aloysius Uche Ordu puts it in Semafor, the problem is the “single story.” Africa likely needs both credible local ratings and continued engagement with global agencies, not replacement.
Updating how African risk is understood and priced could be a huge step forward. Read more: Semafor, Concerto, Africa Union, Chatham House.

Source: UN Trade & Development
What We Are Reading
Burkina Faso: Military junta in control since 2022, dissolved all political parties and took control of their assets (AP News).
DR Congo: Landslide at Rubaya coltan mine killed at least 200 miners (AP News); Eight explosive drones targeted Kisangani airport over the weekend, blamed on M23 rebels and Rwanda, no casualties reported (Reuters); Ivanhoe Mines was in talks with Gecamines and Mercuria to supply zinc and critical minerals from Kipushi to the U.S. under Project Vault (Reuters).
Egypt: Deployment of Turkish Bayraktar Akinci drones near Sudan border signaled deeper Egyptian involvement in Sudan’s civil war (Reuters); New Administrative Capital got its first international flight link with Air Cairo flights to Jeddah, boosting access and easing congestion in Cairo (Bloomberg).
Ethiopia: Bondholder group planned legal action after bilateral creditors block $1B debt restructuring deal (Reuters); Ethiopian Airlines resumed flights to the Tigray region after clashes raised fears of renewed conflict (Reuters); Private bondholders planned to sue Ethiopia over a $1B debt default after official creditors blocked a restructuring deal (Financial Times).
Ghana: Inflation fell to 3.8%, spurring potential further central bank rate cuts (Bloomberg).
Guinea-Bissau: Junta released opposition leader Domingos Simoes Pereira under house arrest and vows to form an inclusive transitional government (Reuters).
Madagascan government lifted a 16-year ban on new mining permits for most minerals but keeps gold permits suspended (Reuters).
Nigeria: NNPC Ltd launched Gas Master Plan 2026 to boost gas production, industrialisation and investment (NNPC Group).
South Africa: Private investment tripled to 382.5B rand, boosting planned capital projects while government spending falls to 2.9B rand (Bloomberg); Afreximbank announced it will provide an initial $11B to ease funding pressures, back infrastructure, energy and industrial projects, and support Black-owned businesses, with up to $3B earmarked for a new transformation fund (Bloomberg).
South Sudan: Fighting in Jonglei restricted aid access, leaving thousands at risk of hunger and medical emergencies (AP News).
Somalia: U.S. ended Temporary Protected Status, making thousands eligible for deportation while targeting al-Shabab and ISIS in Somalia (Semafor).
Sudan: U.S. and UN launched a $700M humanitarian fund to support civilians amid ongoing war and famine (AP News).
Business & Finance in Africa
Debt Drives VC Growth

Source: Partech
All of the major VC ecosystem reports for Africa (except WeeTracker’s annual report) are now out, including Partech’s 2025 Africa Tech VC Report, Africa: The Big Deal’s 2025 funding review and Briter 2025 investment insights. In 2025, African startups raised more capital than in recent years, with record debt financing playing an increasingly central role alongside stabilizing equity flows. Partech alone shows total funding hitting about $4.1B, with debt up ~63% year-over-year and accounting for roughly 40% of total capital deployed.
This week, I had the pleasure of sitting virtually with Max Cuvellier Giacomelli (Africa: The Big Deal), Ashim Egunjobi (Octerra Capital), Grégoire de Padirac (Digital Africa) and Oluwadunni Fanibe (Google) to discuss the space and help launch AfricArena’s State of Tech in Africa 2026 report and predictions for 2026. Thanks, Christophe Viarnaud and Dan Mabbyalas for some great insights and organizing the lively discussion!
In my opinion, there is a whole lot of nuance across all these markets. While headline totals are useful, the real story lies in diverging geography (the Big Four hubs continue to dominate), sector shifts (cleantech and enterprise gaining alongside fintech) and evolving investor behavior that will define how African startups scale in 2026 and beyond.
Angels, Leveling Up

Source: via African Economy Inc.
Africa’s angel ecosystem scaled sharply in 2025, reaching 76 active angel networks across 37 countries, a 27% increase in a single year, according to African Economy Inc.
Nigeria, South Africa and Egypt remain the densest hubs but frontier markets like Gambia and Liberia are now seeing organized angel activity. A decade ago, the continent had fewer than 20 networks.
Angel investing is getting more coordinated: Syndicated deals rose to 50% of transactions, while cross-border investments hit 48%, signaling a shift from solo checks to pooled, pan-African capital.
Even with average checks still below $25K, angels now participate in roughly 40% of all African venture deals, making local capital a foundational layer of the startup stack.
According to the African Business Angel Network, the growing network of African angel groups could collectively deploy about $100M annually by 2027. This could soon account for 15% of pre-seed and seed funding, reinforcing a broader shift toward locally anchored capital formation.
Climate in Africa
Solar, Picking Up Speed

Source: Global Solar Council
Africa added a record 4.5 gigawatts of solar capacity in 2025, a 54% year over year increase and the fastest growth on record, according to the Global Solar Council.
The 2025 surge beat forecasts and shows solar scaling across both utility-scale and distributed markets, rather than through one-off megaprojects.
The constraint: About 82% of clean energy financing in Africa still comes from public and development capital designed for large, grid-connected projects, even as rooftop and mini grid solar grow faster.
Global context: Africa’s record year is meaningful but small by global standards. The International Energy Agency reports that China alone added more than 260 gigawatts of solar in a single year, highlighting both how far Africa has come and how much headroom remains.
If financing, planning and regulation catch up, Africa could be installing more than 33 gigawatts of solar a year by 2029, more than six times the 2025 level.
Read more: Bloomberg, Global Solar Council.
Explorations in Africa
Grammy Meets Fela

Source: BBC Africa
Fela Kuti became the first African to receive the Recording Academy’s Lifetime Achievement Award, honored posthumously at the Grammys Special Merit Awards.
Why it matters: The recognition cements Fela’s role as the father of Afrobeat and a foundational influence on Afrobeats, one of the world’s fastest-growing global music genres. Nigerian critics see it as overdue validation of a 50-plus-year legacy.
The tension: Fela spent his career attacking Western cultural dominance, global institutions and Nigeria’s military rulers. That the Recording Academy is now honoring him underscores how far his influence traveled, including into institutions he openly challenged.
The legacy: His music and activism shaped generations, from Burna Boy and Wizkid to Beyoncé and Nas. Afrobeats’ global rise and new Grammy categories trace directly back to the path Fela carved.
Bottom line: A radical voice from Lagos just entered the global canon. Read more: AP News and listen to his music on Spotify.
Thanks for reading. If the charts caught your eye, our Graphics of the Week page archives every visual we publish. All signal.
See you next week!
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